Forex Fundamental Analysis 2
Which speeches are interesting?
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of USA, Secretary of the Treasury, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and so on. Speeches of those prominent people are watched closely by traders.
What are the most powerful figures which move Forex market?
Interest rate
Traditionally, if a country raises its interest rates, its currency will strengthen because investors will shift their assets to that country to gain higher
returns.
Employment situation
Decreases in the payroll employment are considered as signs of a weak economic activity that could eventually lead to lower interest rates, which has
negative impact on the currency.
Trade balance, budget and treasury budget
A country that has a significant Trade Balance deficit will generally have a weak currency as there will be continuous commercial sellings of its currency.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GDP is reported quarterly and is followed very closely as it is a primary indicator of the strength of economic activity.
A high GDP figure is usually followed by expectations of higher interest rates, which is mostly positive for the currency.
When there are news Forex brokers may not be supportive of traders intensions to trade during these news announcements. There has been practices reported when Forex brokers simply freeze platforms during news, so that no trades can be opened or closed.
Less powefull economic indicators are:
Retail sales
It is the first real indicator of the strength of consumer expenditure.
Durable goods
Rising Durable Goods Orders are normally associated with stronger economic activity and can therefore lead to higher short-term interest rates, which is usually supportive for a currency.
How can you use these data?
There are few useful tips that you can follow:
1. You should keep an economic calendar on hand. Watch for the events when data are due to be released.
2. You should know what indicator is gaining the most of attention at any given time as it becomes a catalyst for future price moves. For example, when the U.S. dollar is weak traders will watch closely the inflation indicator.
3. When the difference between the expectations and real results occur, you should watch for corrections in the market price moves.
4. You should pay attention to news revisions if any, the situation on the market can change quickly.
Another important thing you should think about is your Forex broker:
Because of the high volume of trades made at the time of important economic announcements some brokers may block or slow down the execution of new trading orders.
For traders it means they should enter the trade before the "major action" begins and, what is more important, they must always have their protective stops placed. Being not able to access the trade desk to close your losing position in time is the most frustrating thing traders should always try to avoid.
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